The Word From Arizona's Fifth District

Thursday, October 05, 2006

Harry Leads in New Internal Poll!

The Mitchell camp has released an internal poll paid for by the DCCC.

Grove Insights: 400 Likely Voters, +/- 4.1% MoE

Mitchell: 40
Hayworth: 37
Undecided/Third Party Candidates: 23

I heard rumors about a Mitchell internal poll that had him down by four. Were the rumors wrong, lost in translation, or did the campaign conduct another poll? I doubt the latter is true.

The released poll was first announced in Time magazine, but there were no details. This internal is good news. It shows Hayworth is still weak and Harry has good traction amongst his base. I bet a lot of those undecideds are independents or moderate Republicans that will pull for Harry come November.

Polling has been all over the place with this campaign. The SUSA poll and Hayworth's own NRCC-backed internal were close in range, but SUSA oversampled Republicans and the details were a bit sketchy at best. I would bet that one more poll will be done by the first week of November. Possibly ASU/KAET.

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